Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.019751 0.021972 0.024191 0.026571 0.029045 0.031534 0.034223
2025-02-16 0.015449 0.018964 0.022611 0.026646 0.030957 0.035399 0.040300
2025-02-23 0.012422 0.016715 0.021321 0.026547 0.032248 0.038223 0.044908
2025-03-02 0.010037 0.014823 0.020121 0.026274 0.033103 0.040358 0.048565
2025-03-09 0.008222 0.013349 0.019204 0.026144 0.033963 0.042362 0.051947
2025-03-16 0.006429 0.011697 0.017930 0.025482 0.034119 0.043497 0.054289
2025-03-23 0.005310 0.010746 0.017383 0.025568 0.035042 0.045413 0.057419
2025-03-30 0.004138 0.009587 0.016493 0.025182 0.035367 0.046610 0.059709
2025-04-06 0.003016 0.008341 0.015403 0.024487 0.035278 0.047297 0.061386
2025-04-13 0.001896 0.006887 0.013939 0.023264 0.034515 0.047172 0.062112
2025-04-20 0.001515 0.006531 0.013875 0.023723 0.035698 0.049232 0.065261
2025-04-27 0.000940 0.005692 0.013098 0.023256 0.035755 0.049981 0.066912
2025-05-04 0.000345 0.004570 0.011934 0.022380 0.035451 0.050475 0.068471
2025-05-11 0.000102 0.004025 0.011579 0.022559 0.036454 0.052529 0.071866
2025-05-18 NaN 0.003416 0.011056 0.022483 0.037126 0.054184 0.074794
2025-05-25 NaN 0.002797 0.010435 0.022231 0.037550 0.055522 0.077337
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002300 0.009940 0.022110 0.038108 0.056996 0.080014
2025-06-08 NaN 0.001686 0.009123 0.021493 0.038013 0.057672 0.081747
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001377 0.008819 0.021574 0.038777 0.059353 0.084625
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000981 0.008236 0.021215 0.038959 0.060320 0.086659
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000584 0.007490 0.020568 0.038743 0.060789 0.088095
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000204 0.006467 0.019433 0.037851 0.060415 0.088523
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000143 0.006458 0.019858 0.039001 0.062509 0.091833